A Practical Approach to Incorporating ESG Risk Into Equity Valuation

Authors

  • Seth A. Hoelscher Missouri State University
  • Caleb Sappington Missouri State University
  • Liam R. Stros Missouri State University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.33423/jabe.v26i1.6811

Keywords:

business, economics, ESG, equity analysis, equity valuation, free cash flow to equity, valuation methods

Abstract

The rise in the capital allocated and investor focus attributed to ESG investing over the past several years has been significant. However, the current literature is not settled regarding the value that ESG risk measures and reporting has on investments and valuations. If this risk is essential, then this risk should be incorporated to account for the presence or the lack of ESG-related risk in valuation models. However, with the relative newness and difficulty of quantifying ESG risk, there is little practical guidance on incorporating this risk into valuation estimates. We provide evidence that ESG-related risk scores are positively associated with the cost of equity. Building upon that result, we operationalize the positive relationship to adjust the cost of equity in free cash flow to equity valuation models. Firms with higher ESG risk have a higher required return, while firms with lower ESG risk have a lower discount rate. Our approach is a practical guide for investors and analysts to account for ESG risk adjustments in valuation models.

References

Alberts, W.W., & Archer, S.H. (1973). Some evidence on the effect of company size on the cost of equity capital. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 8(2), 229–242.

Archer, S.H., & Faerber, L.G. (1966). Firm size and the cost of externally secured equity capital. Journal of Finance, 21(1), 69–83.

Bauer, R., Koedijk, K., & Otten, R. (2005). International evidence on ethical mutual fund performance and investment style. Journal of Banking & Finance, 29(7), 1751–1767.

Berg, F., Koelbel, J.F., & Rigobon, R. (2022). Aggregate confusion: The divergence of ESG ratings. Review of Finance, 26(6), 1315–1344.

BlackRock. (2016). Larry Fink’s 2016 Letter to CEOs. Retrieved April 21, 2023, from https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/investor-relations/2016-larry-fink-ceo-letter

Bolton, P., & Kacperczyk, M. (2021). Do investors care about carbon risk? Journal of Financial Economics, 142(2), 517–549.

Chatterji, A.K., Durand, R., Levine, D.I., & Touboul, S. (2016). Do ratings of firms converge? Implications for managers, investors and strategy researchers. Strategic Management Journal, 37(8), 1597–1614.

Cheng, B., Ioannou, I., & Serafeim, G. (2014). Corporate social responsibility and access to finance. Strategic Management Journal, 35(1), 1–23.

Christensen, H.B., Hail, L., & Leuz, C. (2019, August). Adoption of CSR and Sustainability Reporting Standards: Economic Analysis and Review. European Corporate Governance Institute-Finance Working Paper No. 623/2019.

Dai, R., Duan, R., Liang, H., & Ng, L. (2021). Outsourcing climate change. European Corporate Governance Institute–Finance Working Paper, (723).

Davenport, M. (1971). Leverage and the cost of capital: Some tests using British data. Economica, 38(150), 136–162.

Delmas, M.A., & Burbano, V.C. (2011). The drivers of greenwashing. California Management Review, 54(1), 64–87.

Derwall, J., Guenster, N., Bauer, R., & Koedijk, K. (2005). The eco-efficiency premium puzzle. Financial Analysts Journal, 61(2), 51–63.

Dimson, E., Marsh, P., & Staunton, M. (2020). Exclusionary screening. Journal of Impact and ESG Investing, 1(1), 66–75.

Dyck, A., Lins, K.V., Roth, L., & Wagner, H.F. (2019). Do institutional investors drive corporate social responsibility? International evidence. Journal of Financial Economics, 131(3), 693–714.

El Ghoul, S., Guedhami, O., Kwok, C.C., & Mishra, D.R. (2011). Does corporate social responsibility affect the cost of capital? Journal of Banking & Finance, 35(9), 2388–2406.

Fabozzi, F.J., Ma, K.C., & Oliphant, B.J. (2008). Sin stock returns. Journal of Portfolio Management, 35(1), 82–94.

Gibson Brandon, R., Krueger, P., & Schmidt, P.S. (2021). ESG rating disagreement and stock returns. Financial Analysts Journal, 77(4), 104–127.

Gibson, R., Krueger, P., & Mitali, S.F. (2020). The sustainability footprint of institutional investors: ESG driven price pressure and performance. Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper, (17–05).

Greening, D.W., & Turban, D.B. (2000). Corporate social performance as a competitive advantage in attracting a quality workforce. Business & Society, 39(3), 254–280.

Hamilton, S., Jo, H., & Statman, M. (1993). Doing well while doing good? The investment performance of socially responsible mutual funds. Financial Analysts Journal, 49(6), 62–66.

Hong, H., & Kacperczyk, M. (2009). The price of sin: The effects of social norms on markets. Journal of Financial Economics, 93(1), 15–36.

Kempf, A., & Osthoff, P. (2007). The effect of socially responsible investing on portfolio performance. European Financial Management, 13(5), 908–922.

Kim, Y., Li, H., & Li, S. (2014). Corporate social responsibility and stock price crash risk. Journal of Banking & Finance, 43, 1–13.

Lins, K. V., Servaes, H., & Tamayo, A. (2017). Social capital, trust, and firm performance: The value of corporate social responsibility during the financial crisis. Journal of Finance, 72(4), 1785–1824.

Pinto, J.E., Robinson, T.R., & Stowe, J.D. (2019). Equity valuation: A survey of professional practice. Review of Financial Economics, 37(2), 219–233.

PWC. (2022). Exponential expectations for ESG: PWC. Retrieved April 21, 2023, from https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/financial-services/assets/pdf/pwc-awm-revolution-2022.pdf

Rau, P.R., & Yu, T. (2023). A survey on ESG: Investors, institutions and firms. China Finance Review International.

Regan, P.J., & Love, D.A. (1985). Pension Fund Perspective: On South Africa. Financial Analysts Journal, pp. 14–16.

Renneboog, L., Ter Horst, J., & Zhang, C. (2008). The price of ethics and stakeholder governance: The performance of socially responsible mutual funds. Journal of Corporate Finance, 14(3), 302–322.

Solomon, E. (1963). Leverage and the Cost of Capital. Journal of Finance, 18(2), 273–279.

Starks, L.T. (2021). Environmental, social, and governance issues and the financial analysts journal. Financial Analysts Journal, 77(4), 5–21.

Starks, L.T., Venkat, P., & Zhu, Q. (2017). Corporate ESG profiles and investor horizons. Retrieved from SSRN 3049943.

Sustainalytics. (2022). ESG Risk Ratings – Methodology Abstract. Retrieved April 21, 2023, from https://connect.sustainalytics.com/esg-risk-ratings-methodology

Downloads

Published

2024-02-14

How to Cite

Hoelscher, S. A., Sappington, C., & Stros, L. R. (2024). A Practical Approach to Incorporating ESG Risk Into Equity Valuation. Journal of Applied Business and Economics, 26(1). https://doi.org/10.33423/jabe.v26i1.6811

Issue

Section

Articles